As
regular readers will know, there is nothing TVB likes better, than finding a
plot to justify backing an outsider…
In
truth, there has been perilously few of them this season – as the market seems
to wise-up to every possible plot, almost as soon as prices are
released.
But
somehow, Court Frontier managed to slip through the net today – and when the
late money did arrive for him, I was very optimistic that there was substance to
my unsubstantiated theory !
That
said, never in my wildest dreams would I have imagined that a horse freely
available at 20/1, prior to 11:00 this morning, would be sent off a 9/2
favourite.
But
that’s what happened – and whilst there were a few anxious moments along the
way, Denis O’Regan timed his run well and the horse was very game.
As I
said this morning, I expected him to achieve much more in Ireland, so I was
relatively confident the had the latent ability – and he proved that to be the
case this afternoon…
Unfortunately the days other tip, Quito du Tresor, ran
like a horse who has now lost all ability.
In
fairness, I would actually say that he ran too poorly, for it to have been his
form.
He
never looked comfortable at any point in the race – and I would not be surprised
if there was some reason other than terminal decline !
That
said, he had everything in his favour today, so I won’t accept any
excuses.
He
can be no more than a Mention, from now on…
With
regard to todays mentions, then Definite Outcome ran disappointingly.
That
is always a possibility with a horse such as him – and is why you need to ensure
you get the right price.
The
result of his race took a bit of fathoming, with Tanit River producing a run far
superior to anything he had done previously.
The
main players certainly didn’t run as expected: though Flintham travelled really
well for a good deal of the race: and Robinsfirth wasn’t completely beaten when
unshipping his rider at the second last.
Finally, a little like with Quito du Tresor, it looks as
Ifandbutwhynot is one simply to watch in the future.
In
fairness I was happy to mainly watch him today – and he did travel well to a
point.
However, he just doesn’t seem capable of going through
with his effort and I have a feeling it won’t matter how far in the handicap
he’s dropped, the result is likely to be the same…
TVB.
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