Sunday 20 November 2016

Review of the day

Well that showed Sods Law !

Over the years, the one thing I’ve learnt about the racing, is that you need to be consistent.
Consistent with the picking; consistent with the tipping and consistent with the backing.
If you’re not, you know precisely what will happen…

I could easily have taken today off – but I saw a horse who I felt had got a decent chance at a fair price, so I made the effort to tip him (and write down my reasons for doing so).

And thankfully, he came up trumps – even if it was only by the skin of his teeth !

As recently as Friday, we were deprived a winner because his jumping fell apart in the closing stages of the race: today we got one, because the same thing happened to our main rival.

To be honest, I’ll take that.
I accept that some days things go your way – and others they don’t.
So long as you get a fair balance between the 2, I will never have an issue…

There’s not a lot else to say about the race.
Westerner Point led from start to finish – and just managed to fend off the late challenge of favourite Riviera Sun.
It was pretty much as I’d scripted.
Dysios even ran the race he was supposed to.

If only it always worked out that way…

Earlier in the afternoon, Royal Palladium was a game winner at Exeter.
He was on my short list of 4 for the race – but I couldn’t be interested in him at the early 6/1.
10/1 at the off (bigger on BF) was much more interesting – and again, whilst he was maybe a tad fortunate to collect (his main rival ploughed through the second last), he was in front where it mattered.

It’s interesting to observe the betting on Venetias horses.
They are all being put in very short – so most of them will drift (obviously Saroque didn’t yesterday – but he has absolutely rock solid, in terms of the form book).

Backing them at BSP isn’t a bad idea – as both Francis and Neil have hinted, in the forum…

The next race on the card was the novice chase - and it was won by one of the chasing debutantes, American.
It was good performance – though not one to go overboard about.

The final race of interest on the Exeter card, was won by Walk in the Mill.
My process of elimination had arrived at him –I just didn’t like the price.
I stand by that – even after the event !!

Things didn’t go quite so well at Uttoxeter…
I felt Elenika had a better chance than Royal Palladium – but their runs were like chalk and cheese.
Elenika never travelled and was pulled up not long after half way.
If you are going to follow Venetia horses, you have to be prepared to accept such things…

In the same race, Mercian Prince was very well backed - and looked likely to win.
But he was run out of it close home, which as a shame…

In the other race of interest at Uttoxeter, it was as if Little Glenshee and Grove Silver had swapped roles (and I guess they might have done, as both are greys !).

The latter was meant to get into a pace duel with Noble Legend – but he left that job to Little Glenshee.
She gleefully accepted – and along with Noble Legend, was a spent force not long after half way.

This left Grove Silver and Mumgos Debut to fight out the finish – and Grove Silver came out on top.

Another thing I’ve learnt over the years, is that when you feel sure you know how a small runner race is going to be run, you are invariably wrong !!

Finally, at Punchestown, Nichols Canyon won the Morgiana; whilst Identity Thief won the Craddockstown.
In the Florida Pearl, Jetstream Jack beat Disco – but A Toi Phil beat them both.

JP didn’t fancy any of his runners - and the message got through to them all, without any issue.
First to Boogies however, was very well fancied. You don’t see many 6/4 shots in 17 runners handicaps.
Needless to say, he came home in front.

It’s easy when you are in the know…

TVB.

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